Select Language

GBP/USD remains capped under 1.3000, focus on Fedspeak

Breaking news

GBP/USD remains capped under 1.3000, focus on Fedspeak

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
update 2024.08.20 14:10
GBP/USD remains capped under 1.3000, focus on Fedspeak

update 2024.08.20 14:10

  • GBP/USD edges lower to 1.2980 in Tuesday's early Asian session.
  • Dovish comments from Fed officials might weigh on the USD and cap the pair's downside. 
  • Fed's Bostic and Barr are set to speak later on Tuesday.

The GBP/USD pair weakens near 1.2980, snapping the three-day winning streak during the early European session on Tuesday. The modest recovery of the Greenback drags the major pair lower. In the absence of top-tier data releases from the UK later this week, the USD price dynamic will be the main driver for the GBP/USD. All eyes will be on the Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell's speech on Friday. 

The UK inflation and employment reports last week supported the Bank of England (BoE) to keep the interest rate steady at 5.0% at the upcoming September meeting. IBOSS chief economist, Rupert Thompson, noted, "The BOE is most likely to leave rates unchanged at their next meeting in September, with the next cut having to wait until November." The expectation of more rate cuts by the BoE might weigh on the Pound Sterling (GBP) in the near term. 

However, the upside of the US Dollar (USD) might be capped amid the dovish stance of the Fed officials. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari stated on Monday that he would be open to cutting US interest rates in September because of the rising possibility that the labor market weakens too much. 

Meanwhile, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said on Sunday that the US economy does not show signs of overheating, therefore, Fed officials should be vigilant about keeping restrictive policy in place longer than necessary. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, traders have priced in around 77% odds of a 25 basis points (bps) Fed rate cut in its September meeting. Later on Tuesday, investors will take more cues from the Fed's Raphael Bostic and Michael Barr speeches. Any dovish comments of Fed officials could undermine the USD and help limit losses for the GBP/USD pair. 

 

Pound Sterling FAQs

The Pound Sterling (GBP) is the oldest currency in the world (886 AD) and the official currency of the United Kingdom. It is the fourth most traded unit for foreign exchange (FX) in the world, accounting for 12% of all transactions, averaging $630 billion a day, according to 2022 data. Its key trading pairs are GBP/USD, aka 'Cable', which accounts for 11% of FX, GBP/JPY, or the 'Dragon' as it is known by traders (3%), and EUR/GBP (2%). The Pound Sterling is issued by the Bank of England (BoE).

The single most important factor influencing the value of the Pound Sterling is monetary policy decided by the Bank of England. The BoE bases its decisions on whether it has achieved its primary goal of "price stability" - a steady inflation rate of around 2%. Its primary tool for achieving this is the adjustment of interest rates. When inflation is too high, the BoE will try to rein it in by raising interest rates, making it more expensive for people and businesses to access credit. This is generally positive for GBP, as higher interest rates make the UK a more attractive place for global investors to park their money. When inflation falls too low it is a sign economic growth is slowing. In this scenario, the BoE will consider lowering interest rates to cheapen credit so businesses will borrow more to invest in growth-generating projects.

Data releases gauge the health of the economy and can impact the value of the Pound Sterling. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, and employment can all influence the direction of the GBP. A strong economy is good for Sterling. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the BoE to put up interest rates, which will directly strengthen GBP. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the Pound Sterling is likely to fall.

Another significant data release for the Pound Sterling is the Trade Balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports over a given period. If a country produces highly sought-after exports, its currency will benefit purely from the extra demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase these goods. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens a currency and vice versa for a negative balance.

 


Date

Created

 : 2024.08.20

Update

Last updated

 : 2024.08.20

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

Mexican Peso stays flat following Fed rate cut, eyes on Banxico

The Mexican Peso remained unchanged against the US Dollar during the North American session on Thursday after the Federal Reserve (Fed) lowered interest rates for the first time in four years.
New
update2024.09.20 01:24

EUR/GBP Price Analysis: Technical outlook favors the downside as selling pressure mounts

Thursday's session saw the EUR/GBP slightly decline by 0.20% below 0.8400.
New
update2024.09.20 01:00

EUR/JPY surges on sentiment improvement yet struggles at 160.00

The Euro rallied sharply against the Japanese Yen on Thursday amid a scarce economic docket.
New
update2024.09.19 23:13

NZD/USD struggles to seize two-week high of 0.6270 as US Dollar bounces back

The NZD/USD pair gains significantly by more than 0.5% but struggles to seize the two-week high of 0.6270 in Thursday's North American session.
New
update2024.09.19 23:00

BoE: There is a premium on patience - Rabobank

Bank of England (BoE) left the policy unchanged, as expected, at 5%, in a 8-1 split vote, Rabobank's Senior Macro Strategist Stefan Koopman notes.
New
update2024.09.19 23:00

Correlation between Gold and the broad USD grows - TDS

Price action in Gold is telling you that macro fund positioning is extreme, TDS commodity analyst Daniel Ghali notes.
New
update2024.09.19 22:53

The Fed joins the easing cycle with a bang - TDS

The Fed joins the global easing cycle, and the focus now shifts to the relative pace of cuts, TDS macro analysts note.
New
update2024.09.19 22:34

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Touches new yearly high but diverging with momentum

GBP/USD has rallied to a new high for 2024 on Thursday; the pair reached 1.3314 during trading on Thursday, its highest price for the year.
New
update2024.09.19 22:30

AUD/USD Price Forecast: Posts new high for 2024 but diverging bearishly with RSI

AUD/USD reaches a new high for 2024 at 0.6839 on Thursday, after the leg higher that began at the September 11 lows extends.
New
update2024.09.19 22:11

Bailey speech: Optimistic UK interest rates will fall further

Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey said on Thursday that he is optimistic that interest rates in the UK will fall but added that they need more evidence, per Reuters.
New
update2024.09.19 22:08

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel