Select Language

WTI clings to gains above $82.00 in countdown to US NFP

Breaking news

WTI clings to gains above $82.00 in countdown to US NFP

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2024.07.04 20:00
WTI clings to gains above $82.00 in countdown to US NFP

update 2024.07.04 20:00

  • WTI holds gains above $82.00 with US NFP in focus.
  • Larger-than-expected drawdown in oil inventories for the week ending June 28 keeps supporting the downside in the Oil price.
  • US labor market strength appears to have started easing.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, steady above $82.00 in Thursday's European session as month-long rally from June 4 low of $72.45 appears to have stalled for the time-being. The Oil price struggles to extend its upside even though the United States (US) Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported a larger-than-expected drawdown in crude inventories for the week ending June 28.

The agency reported that Oil stockpiles declined by 12.16 million barrels after a build-up of 3.59 million barrels previously. A sharp decline in Oil stockpiles suggests robust demand environment, which is favorable for the Oil price.

The near-term outlook of the Oil price remains firm amid growing speculation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will start reducing interest rates from the September meeting. The expectations for early Fed rate cuts soar after US ADP Employment data for June indicated that the labor market is losing momentum.

This has also weighed heavily on the US Dollar (USD). The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback's value against six major currencies, slides further to near 105.20. Weakness in the US Dollar makes the Oil price an attractive bet for market participants.

The next trigger for the Oil price will be the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) for June, which will be published on Friday. Strong labor demand would ease Fed rate-cut prospects for September while soft figures will boost them.

Meanwhile, concerns over supply chain disruptions remain intact amid tensions in the Middle East region. Also, major U.S. oil and gas platforms are also in Hurricane Beryl's path, which is expected to affect about 73,000 barrels per day of offshore oil production, the ANZ Bank reported.

Brent Crude Oil FAQs

Brent Crude Oil is a type of Crude Oil found in the North Sea that is used as a benchmark for international Oil prices. It is considered 'light' and 'sweet' because of its high gravity and low sulfur content, making it easier to refine into gasoline and other high-value products. Brent Crude Oil serves as a reference price for approximately two-thirds of the world's internationally traded Oil supplies. Its popularity rests on its availability and stability: the North Sea region has well-established infrastructure for Oil production and transportation, ensuring a reliable and consistent supply.

Like all assets supply and demand are the key drivers of Brent Crude Oil price. As such, global growth can be a driver of increased demand and vice versa for weak global growth. Political instability, wars, and sanctions can disrupt supply and impact prices. The decisions of OPEC, a group of major Oil-producing countries, is another key driver of price. The value of the US Dollar influences the price of Brent Crude Oil, since Oil is predominantly traded in US Dollars, thus a weaker US Dollar can make Oil more affordable and vice versa.

The weekly Oil inventory reports published by the American Petroleum Institute (API) and the Energy Information Agency (EIA) impact the price of Brent Crude Oil. Changes in inventories reflect fluctuating supply and demand. If the data shows a drop in inventories it can indicate increased demand, pushing up Oil price. Higher inventories can reflect increased supply, pushing down prices. API's report is published every Tuesday and EIA's the day after. Their results are usually similar, falling within 1% of each other 75% of the time. The EIA data is considered more reliable, since it is a government agency.

OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) is a group of 13 Oil producing nations who collectively decide production quotas for member countries at twice-yearly meetings. Their decisions often impact Brent Crude Oil prices. When OPEC decides to lower quotas, it can tighten supply, pushing up Oil prices. When OPEC increases production, it has the opposite effect. OPEC+ refers to an expanded group that includes ten extra non-OPEC members, the most notable of which is Russia.

 


Date

Created

 : 2024.07.04

Update

Last updated

 : 2024.07.04

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

US Dollar remains weak as market awaits Thursday's inflation data

The US Dollar continues to struggle amid signs of disinflation in the US economy, fostering confidence in a potential September rate cut from the Federal Reserve (Fed) among market participants.
New
update2024.07.09 01:22

USD/CNH: Fixing normalizes - OCBS

USD/CNH traded briefly above 7.31 before turning lower into the week's close, OCBC FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
New
update2024.07.09 00:51

EUR/USD: Hung parliament but with surprise twist - OCBC

The Euro (EUR) started the week on a slightly softer footing after 2nd round election results produced a somewhat surprise outcome, OCBC FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
New
update2024.07.09 00:43

DXY: Softer NFP to weigh on USD - OCBC

The Dollar Index (DXY) fell last week on softer US data and Fedspeaks, OCBC FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
New
update2024.07.09 00:25

Middle East tensions drive the oil market upside - TDS

Oil market upside was being driven by supply side risk tied to boiling Middle East tensions, and the rally was extended via Commodity Trading Advisor (CTA) buying flows, TDS Senior Commodity Strategist Ryan McKay notes.
New
update2024.07.09 00:09

Copper bullish price action remains unchanged - TDS

Price action in the base metal complex has successfully fended off Commodity Trading Advisor (CTA) selling pressure in Copper, TDS Senior Commodity Strategist Ryan McKay notes.
New
update2024.07.09 00:01

GBP/USD Price Analysis:  Climbs to 4-week high, buyers target 1.2900

The Pound Sterling begins the week on a higher note and posted gains of more than 0.20%, as the Greenback continued to edge lower, amid increasing expectations that the Federal Reserve could cut borrowing costs in September.
New
update2024.07.08 23:54

EUR/GBP Price Analysis: Downtrend resuming

EUR/GBP is resuming its medium-term downtrend after the correction higher from the June 14 lows appears to have peaked and rolled over.
New
update2024.07.08 23:54

Precious metals continue to grow - TDS

Precious metals continued to perform well in a holiday-shortened week, TD Securities Senior Commodity Strategist Ryan McKay notes.
New
update2024.07.08 23:46

Precious metals continue to grow - TDS

Precious metals continued to perform well in a holiday-shortened week, TD Securities Senior Commodity Strategist Ryan McKay notes.
New
update2024.07.08 23:26

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel