Created
: 2024.05.06
2024.05.06 15:44
The USD/CAD pair remains on the defensive near 1.3685 on Monday during the early European trading hours. The Canadian Dollar (CAD) edges higher amid the rise in crude oil prices, which creates a headwind for USD/CAD. The release of Canada's Ivey Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) and employment data for April this week might offer some hints about the economic outlook and inflation trajectory in the Canadian economy. Apart from this, traders will monitor Fedspeak, with the Fed's Thomas Barkin and John Williams set to speak later on Monday.
The downbeat US data on Friday raised the hope that a cooling labour market will prompt the Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates in September. The Labour Department reported that the US added 175,000 jobs in April from 315,000 in March (revised from 303,000). This figure came in weaker than the market, expectation of 243,000.
Furthermore, the Unemployment Rate climbed from 3.8% in March to 3.9% in April. The Average Hourly Earnings, wage inflation, declined to 3.9% YoY in April from 4.1% in the previous reading. Finally, ISM Services PMI fell to 49.4 in April from 51.4 in March, worse than the protection of 52.0. In response to the data, the Greenback faced some selling pressure across the board as markets expect the Fed to lower its borrowing costs twice this year instead of only once before the data. Financial markets have priced in nearly 68% odds of a September rate cut by the Fed, according to the CME Fedwatch tool.
On the Loonie front, Bank of Canada (BoC) governor Tiff Macklem said last week that the Canadian central bank is more confident that inflation is moving in the right direction and that it may soon be appropriate to begin lowering its borrowing costs. Nonetheless, he poured cold water on hopes that borrowing costs would decline rapidly.
Traders anticipate the BoC to start easing monetary policy at its next meeting in June, according to Refinitiv data. In the event that the Canadian central bank cuts interest rates before the Fed, this might weigh on the Canadian Dollar (CAD) and cap the pair's downside. Meanwhile, the recovery of oil prices lifted the commodity-linked Loonie against its rivals, as Canada is the largest oil exporter to the United States (US).
Created
: 2024.05.06
Last updated
: 2024.05.06
FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.
We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.
please contact us at [email protected].
Disclaimer:
All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.
The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.
Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy