Select Language

Gold price pulls back as market sentiment improves

Breaking news

Gold price pulls back as market sentiment improves

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2024.05.02 18:20
Gold price pulls back as market sentiment improves

update 2024.05.02 18:20

  • Gold price pulls back on positive risk appetite, denting safe-haven demand. 
  • Gold rose strongly on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve adopted an overall easing bias in its May meeting. 
  • The precious metal was propelled higher after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell described more rate hikes as "unlikely". 

The Gold price (XAU/USD) is trading in the $2,310s on Thursday after retracing about three-tenths of a percent on reduced safe-haven demand. Market sentiment is overall positive as Asian stocks on balance closed higher and Oil prices hover at seven-week lows. 

Gold price rallies after Federal Reserve meeting 

Gold price surged over $30 an ounce after the US Federal Reserve (Fed) adopted an overall easing bias at its May policy meeting on Wednesday. 

Gold bulls bid up the price after the Fed decided to leave interest rates unchanged and to slow the pace of reduction of its US Treasury holdings, a mildly dovish move as it unwinds quantitative tightening. 

Yet the Fed also added a hawkish phrase to its statement to reflect the continued stubbornness of US inflation, saying that, "in recent months, there has been a lack of further progress toward the Committee's 2 percent inflation objective."

Concerns, however, that the Fed might actually consider raising interest rates - something that would be detrimental to non-yielding Gold - were allayed after the Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell described such a move as "unlikely". 

In his prepared remarks, Powell dropped any reference to reducing interest rates this year, and sidestepped questions about whether the Fed would still be cutting rates in 2024, in the Q&A. Yet, although the overall take-away was that rates were not coming down any time soon, additional rate-hikes were not on the table either. 

Technical Analysis: Gold price possibly unfolding Measured Move

Gold price (XAU/USD) has fulfilled the minimum requirement for completing its bearish Measured Move price pattern after hitting the Fibonacci 0.681 price objective for the final C wave at $2,286. This could mean prices will now track higher. 

XAU/USD 4-hour Chart


 

Measured Move patterns are composed of three waves that trace out a zig-zag. The end of the final C wave can be estimated based on the length of wave A. It is usually either equal in length to A or a Fibonacci 0.681 ratio of A. 

Directionally, Gold is in a bit of a no-man's land: a break below the 0.681 Fibonacci target lows at $2,285 would be needed to confirm more downside to a target at $2,245 (1.000 or where A=C). 

Alternatively, a break above the cluster of Moving Averages and the peak of wave B at around $2,350 would potentially usher in a new more bullish environment. This could then see a retest of the $2,400 highs.

Additionally, the trend for Gold price is up both in the medium and long-term, overall supporting the outlook

Gold FAQs

Gold has played a key role in human's history as it has been widely used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Currently, apart from its shine and usage for jewelry, the precious metal is widely seen as a safe-haven asset, meaning that it is considered a good investment during turbulent times. Gold is also widely seen as a hedge against inflation and against depreciating currencies as it doesn't rely on any specific issuer or government.

Central banks are the biggest Gold holders. In their aim to support their currencies in turbulent times, central banks tend to diversify their reserves and buy Gold to improve the perceived strength of the economy and the currency. High Gold reserves can be a source of trust for a country's solvency. Central banks added 1,136 tonnes of Gold worth around $70 billion to their reserves in 2022, according to data from the World Gold Council. This is the highest yearly purchase since records began. Central banks from emerging economies such as China, India and Turkey are quickly increasing their Gold reserves.

Gold has an inverse correlation with the US Dollar and US Treasuries, which are both major reserve and safe-haven assets. When the Dollar depreciates, Gold tends to rise, enabling investors and central banks to diversify their assets in turbulent times. Gold is also inversely correlated with risk assets. A rally in the stock market tends to weaken Gold price, while sell-offs in riskier markets tend to favor the precious metal.

The price can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can quickly make Gold price escalate due to its safe-haven status. As a yield-less asset, Gold tends to rise with lower interest rates, while higher cost of money usually weighs down on the yellow metal. Still, most moves depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAU/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Gold controlled, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to push Gold prices up.

 


Date

Created

 : 2024.05.02

Update

Last updated

 : 2024.05.02

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Drops to near 1.0850, further support at nine-day EMA

EUR/USD continues to lose ground, trading around 1.0860 during the Asian hours on Friday.
New
update2024.05.17 14:25

USD/JPY climbs to near 156.00 as BoJ maintains bond-buying

USD/JPY rose to near 155.90 during the Asian session on Friday as the Japanese Yen (JPY) encountered renewed pressure.
New
update2024.05.17 13:40

Gold price loses momentum, with Fed speakers in focus

The gold price (XAU/USD) trades with a bearish bias on Friday after retreating from the nearly $2,400 barrier.
New
update2024.05.17 12:42

ECB's Schnabel: June rate cut may be appropriate, path after is much more uncertain

European Central Bank (ECB) Board member Isabel Schnabel said on Friday that the central bank may cut interest rates in June, but policymakers should look very carefully at the data because there is a risk of easing prematurely, per Reuters.
New
update2024.05.17 12:36

Australian Dollar depreciates amid mixed Chinese data, stronger US Dollar

The Australian Dollar (AUD) continues to experience a decline for the second consecutive session, largely influenced by recent mixed economic data from China released on Friday.
New
update2024.05.17 12:15

China's Retail Sales rises 2.3% YoY in April, Industrial Production up 6.7%

China's Retail Sales rose 2.3% YoY in April from 3.1% in March, worse than the 3.8% expected.
New
update2024.05.17 11:05

NZD/USD depreciates to near 0.6100 due to the improved US Dollar

The NZD/USD pair extended its losses to near 0.6110 during the Asian session on Friday.
New
update2024.05.17 10:49

PBoC sets USD/CNY reference rate at 7.1045 vs 7.1020 previous

The People's Bank of China (PBoC) set the USD/CNY central rate for the trading session ahead on Thursday at 7.1045 as compared to the previous day's fix of 7.1020 and 7.2222 Reuters estimates.
New
update2024.05.17 10:21

USD/CAD edges higher above 1.3600 on firmer US Dollar, Fed's cautious tones

The USD/CAD pair trades on a stronger note around 1.3620 on Friday during the early Asian trading hours.
New
update2024.05.17 10:17

WTI extends the rally near $78.90, US inflation data boosts Fed rate cut expectations

Western Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $78.90 on Friday.
New
update2024.05.17 09:16

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel