Select Language

AUD/USD extends gains, approaching 0.6540 highs on risk appetite  

Breaking news

AUD/USD extends gains, approaching 0.6540 highs on risk appetite  

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.08.08 17:18
AUD/USD extends gains, approaching 0.6540 highs on risk appetite  

update 2025.08.08 17:18

  • The Aussie Dollar is on track for a nearly 1% weekly gain, boosted by a positive market mood.
  • Upbeat Chinese exports data seen this week are underpinning demand for the AUD.
  • The US Dollar remains stuck near lows with traders awaiting replacements for the Fed's vacancies.

The Aussie Dollar remains outperforming its peers on Friday, fuelled by a moderate risk appetite. The pair has reversed a previous decline and is trading higher for the fourth consecutive day, approaching weekly highs at 0.6530 and on track to a nearly 1% rally this week.

Investors are still celebrating the strong export figures from China released on Thursday. China's exporting activity increased 8% in July after a 7.2% rise in June, and the trade surplus widened to CNY 705.1 billion from CNY 585,96 billion in the previous month.

These figures suggest that the Asian leading economy is weathering Trump's tariffs, and has improved confidence in the country's economic outlook, contributing to buoy the market mood.

Rumours about changes in the Fed keep weighing on the USD

The US Dollar, on the other side, remains steady near lows, with traders wary of placing large US Dollar bets amid rumours of replacements in the Federal Reserve. Speculation about Governor Waller replacing Trump and economic adviser Miran filling Kugler's vacancy at the Board feeds investors' hopes of further rate cuts in the next months.

U.S. jobless Claims figures released on Thursday added to the evidence of a weakening labour market. Claims for unemployment benefits increased by 8,000 to 226,000, instead of the 221,000 forecasted by market analysts.

Later on Thursday, St Louis Fed Governor Raphael Bostic curbed hopes of rate cur¡ts in September, warning about the potential impact of Tariffs, but markets are still pricing neary 90% chances that the central bank will ease uts monetary policy after the summer. 

Australian Dollar FAQs

One of the most significant factors for the Australian Dollar (AUD) is the level of interest rates set by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). Because Australia is a resource-rich country another key driver is the price of its biggest export, Iron Ore. The health of the Chinese economy, its largest trading partner, is a factor, as well as inflation in Australia, its growth rate and Trade Balance. Market sentiment - whether investors are taking on more risky assets (risk-on) or seeking safe-havens (risk-off) - is also a factor, with risk-on positive for AUD.

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) influences the Australian Dollar (AUD) by setting the level of interest rates that Australian banks can lend to each other. This influences the level of interest rates in the economy as a whole. The main goal of the RBA is to maintain a stable inflation rate of 2-3% by adjusting interest rates up or down. Relatively high interest rates compared to other major central banks support the AUD, and the opposite for relatively low. The RBA can also use quantitative easing and tightening to influence credit conditions, with the former AUD-negative and the latter AUD-positive.

China is Australia's largest trading partner so the health of the Chinese economy is a major influence on the value of the Australian Dollar (AUD). When the Chinese economy is doing well it purchases more raw materials, goods and services from Australia, lifting demand for the AUD, and pushing up its value. The opposite is the case when the Chinese economy is not growing as fast as expected. Positive or negative surprises in Chinese growth data, therefore, often have a direct impact on the Australian Dollar and its pairs.

Iron Ore is Australia's largest export, accounting for $118 billion a year according to data from 2021, with China as its primary destination. The price of Iron Ore, therefore, can be a driver of the Australian Dollar. Generally, if the price of Iron Ore rises, AUD also goes up, as aggregate demand for the currency increases. The opposite is the case if the price of Iron Ore falls. Higher Iron Ore prices also tend to result in a greater likelihood of a positive Trade Balance for Australia, which is also positive of the AUD.

The Trade Balance, which is the difference between what a country earns from its exports versus what it pays for its imports, is another factor that can influence the value of the Australian Dollar. If Australia produces highly sought after exports, then its currency will gain in value purely from the surplus demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase its exports versus what it spends to purchase imports. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens the AUD, with the opposite effect if the Trade Balance is negative.

the



Date

Created

 : 2025.08.08

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.08.08

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

SEK seen outperforming NOK as geopolitical risk fades - ING

Scandinavian currencies should also do well if geopolitical risk is priced out, with Sweden's krona likely better positioned than Norway's krone due to opposite exposures to energy prices, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
New
update2025.08.08 19:56

Oil: Potential Trump-Putin meeting - ING

ICE Brent settled almost 0.7% lower yesterday with hopes that Presidents Trump and Putin may meet soon, possibly as soon as next week, ING's commodity experts Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note.
New
update2025.08.08 19:49

USD/JPY rises beyond 147.50 amid a broadly firmer US Dollar

The US Dollar is reverting to the previous two days' losses as investors welcomed reports suggesting that Fed Governor Waller is emerging as a top candidate for the replacement of Chair Powell in May, while a moderate risk appetite is weighing on the safe-haven Yen.
New
update2025.08.08 19:48

EUR: Markets to tread carefully on Ukraine truce hopes - ING

After an initial positive spillover on the euro from news of Trump meeting with Putin next week, markets now need to assess how realistic a truce is, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
New
update2025.08.08 19:44

GBP/USD: Surprise vote split - OCBC

Pound Sterling (GBP) rose on BoE decision. GBP was last at 1.3440, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
New
update2025.08.08 19:42

Hawkish interest rate cut by the Bank of England - Commerzbank

Ultimately, the Bank of England delivered on the promise of an exciting decision, Commerzbank's FX analyst Michael Pfister notes.
New
update2025.08.08 19:35

Gold futures hits record high around $3,530 after Trump's tariffs on gold bars

Gold price futures post a fresh all-time high around $3,534.00 on Friday. The precious metal strengthens, following the announcement of tariffs on imports of one-Kilogram (KG) gold bar by United States (US) President Donald Trump, a move that prompted supply concerns.
New
update2025.08.08 19:29

China July Copper imports jump on strong domestic demand - ING

Preliminary China's Customs data showed strong domestic demand for industrial metals. Imports of unwrought Copper rose 9.1% YoY (+4.3% MoM) to 480kt in July, ING's commodity experts Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note, ING's commodity experts Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note.
New
update2025.08.08 19:21

DXY: Next week CPI a focus - OCBC

US Dollar (USD) slipped in reaction to Trump nominating Stephen Miran to temporarily serve as Fed Governor (seat vacated by Kugler). DXY was last at 98.24 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.
New
update2025.08.08 19:12

EUR/GBP slides further toward 0.8750 as traders pare back bets for BoE cuts

The Euro keeps heading south against the British Pound on Friday. The pair has lost nearly 90 pips since the Bank of England released its monetary policy decision, as price action approaches 0.8650 and is on track for a 0.8% weekly decline.
New
update2025.08.08 19:04

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel