Select Language

EUR/JPY holds steady above 161.50 amid thin trading volume on Good Friday

Breaking news

EUR/JPY holds steady above 161.50 amid thin trading volume on Good Friday

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2025.04.18 15:53
EUR/JPY holds steady above 161.50 amid thin trading volume on Good Friday

update 2025.04.18 15:53

  • EUR/JPY steadies around 161.85 in Friday's early European session. 
  • Japan's CPI inflation grew 3.6% YoY in March. 
  • The ECB cut rates by 25 bps to 2.25% at the April meeting on Thursday. 

The EUR/JPY cross trades flat near 161.85 during the early European session on Friday. US President Donald Trump's trade war remains a source of deep uncertainty. However, Trump on Thursday offered some encouraging signals that negotiations with other countries could lead to lower tariffs. The optimism surrounding trade talks could undermine safe-haven currencies like the Japanese Yen (JPY). 

Japan's National Consumer Price Index (CPI) grew 3.6% year on year in March, marking three straight years that the headline inflation figure is above the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) 2% target, the Japan Statistics Bureau revealed on Friday. This figure was lower than the 3.7% recorded in February.

Meanwhile, the so-called "core-core" inflation rate, which strips out prices of both fresh food and energy, rose to 2.9% YoY in March from 2.6% in February. The core inflation, which strips out prices of fresh food, jumped to 3.2% YoY in March from the previous reading of 3.0%. The figure was in line with the market consensus. 

The data comes ahead of the BoJ's policy meeting on May 1. The BoJ is expected to keep interest rates steady at 0.5% and cut its growth estimates as Trump's steep tariffs cloud the economic outlook. Traders also closely monitor the developments in country-specific trade negotiations.

On the Euro front, the European Central Bank (ECB) cut its main interest rate by a quarter of a percentage point to 2.25% at its April meeting on Thursday, citing growing trade tensions after Trump's tariffs sparked a global trade war. ECB President Christine Lagarde said during the press conference that US tariffs on EU goods, which had increased from an average of 3% to 13%, were already harming the outlook for the European economy. 

The dovish stance from the ECB could weigh on the shared currency against the JPY. "It has a dovish tone. Focus has shifted to looking at the downside risk to the growth outlook, rather than upside risk to inflation," said Kirstine Kundby-Nielsen, FX analyst at Danske Bank.  

Inflation FAQs

Inflation measures the rise in the price of a representative basket of goods and services. Headline inflation is usually expressed as a percentage change on a month-on-month (MoM) and year-on-year (YoY) basis. Core inflation excludes more volatile elements such as food and fuel which can fluctuate because of geopolitical and seasonal factors. Core inflation is the figure economists focus on and is the level targeted by central banks, which are mandated to keep inflation at a manageable level, usually around 2%.

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the change in prices of a basket of goods and services over a period of time. It is usually expressed as a percentage change on a month-on-month (MoM) and year-on-year (YoY) basis. Core CPI is the figure targeted by central banks as it excludes volatile food and fuel inputs. When Core CPI rises above 2% it usually results in higher interest rates and vice versa when it falls below 2%. Since higher interest rates are positive for a currency, higher inflation usually results in a stronger currency. The opposite is true when inflation falls.

Although it may seem counter-intuitive, high inflation in a country pushes up the value of its currency and vice versa for lower inflation. This is because the central bank will normally raise interest rates to combat the higher inflation, which attract more global capital inflows from investors looking for a lucrative place to park their money.

Formerly, Gold was the asset investors turned to in times of high inflation because it preserved its value, and whilst investors will often still buy Gold for its safe-haven properties in times of extreme market turmoil, this is not the case most of the time. This is because when inflation is high, central banks will put up interest rates to combat it. Higher interest rates are negative for Gold because they increase the opportunity-cost of holding Gold vis-a-vis an interest-bearing asset or placing the money in a cash deposit account. On the flipside, lower inflation tends to be positive for Gold as it brings interest rates down, making the bright metal a more viable investment alternative.


Date

Created

 : 2025.04.18

Update

Last updated

 : 2025.04.18

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

EUR a mid-performer in context of broad-based USD weakness - Scotiabank

The Euro (EUR) is entering Wednesday's NA session with a decent 0.5% gain, a mid-performer among the G10 in the context of a broadly weaker US Dollar (USD), Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
New
update2025.05.14 21:55

CAD up marginally and a relative underperformer - Scotiabank

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is up marginally vs. the US Dollar (USD) and continuing to underperform its G10 peers for a second consecutive session, trading with the broader trend but with moves of a smaller magnitude, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
New
update2025.05.14 21:53

USD/CAD steady below 1.3950 as soft US inflation weighs on the US Dollar

The USD/CAD pair remains under pressure for the second consecutive day, trading flat near 1.3950 during Wednesday's European trading hours.
New
update2025.05.14 21:51

USD extending weakness as markets focus on US/Korea talks, US bias - Scotiabank

The US Dollar (USD) is weakening broadly into Wednesday's NA session, extending Tuesday's CPI driven-decline and retracing most of its US/China-trade related relief gains from the start of the week, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
New
update2025.05.14 21:45

Mexican Peso hits fresh YTD high as Banxico rate cut, Fed signals, and US trade tensions loom

The Mexican Peso (MXN) posts a second consecutive day of gains on Wednesday against the US Dollar (USD),  slipping below 19.40 ahead of key commentary from Federal Reserve (Fed) officials that could influence the monetary policy outlook.
New
update2025.05.14 20:53

GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Retraces from four-month high above 196.50

The GBP/JPY pair corrects to near 194.45 during European trading hours on Wednesday from its four-month high of 196.40 posted earlier in the day.
New
update2025.05.14 20:28

US Dollar extends losses for second consecutive day after inflation miss, Forex talks with Korea

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is adding to its losses and dives toward the 100-marker on Wednesday.
New
update2025.05.14 20:26

GBP: Eyeing a break higher - ING

The US jobs market has continued to cool, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
New
update2025.05.14 20:04

USD: Strategic USD shorts quickly re-emerge - ING

The dollar gave back almost all of its post-China-deal gains in one session.
New
update2025.05.14 20:01

EUR: Not in a prime position to rally - ING

EUR/USD is back to trading close to the 1.120 mark, entirely driven by the swings in the dollar following the US-China deal and CPI numbers, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
New
update2025.05.14 19:54

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel