Select Language

EUR/GBP remains firm above 0.8350 following German inflation, UK GDP data

Breaking news

EUR/GBP remains firm above 0.8350 following German inflation, UK GDP data

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2024.10.11 15:39
EUR/GBP remains firm above 0.8350 following German inflation, UK GDP data

update 2024.10.11 15:39

  • EUR/GBP gains traction to near 0.8380 in Friday's early Asian session, up 0.11% on the day. 
  • The German HICP inflation remained steady at 1.8% YoY in September, as expected. 
  • The UK GDP expanded 0.2% MoM in August, matched estimates. 

The EUR/GBP cross trades on a stronger note around 0.8380 on Friday during the early European trading hours. The Euro (EUR) remains firm after the release of German inflation data and UK growth numbers. Traders will shift their attention to the UK employment data next week. 

Data released by Destatis on Friday showed that the German Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) rose 1.8% YoY in September, compared to the previous reading and the expectations of 1.8%. The German inflation data continues to support the Euro, while investors were digesting the ECB's cautious tone on economic growth. 

The meeting account published on Thursday showed that the ECB remains confident that inflation is on track to hit the 2% target. The ECB policymakers see the cut rates by 25 basis points (bps) in September as appropriate due to disinflation and a fragile recovery. 

The ECB signaled that any further policy easing would be gradual and data-dependent. The ECB is anticipated to cut the deposit rate to 3.5% next week. More than 90% of economists polled by Reuters expect a reduction next week, with a similar majority betting on a follow-up move in December.

On the UK's front, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed on Friday that the UK economy grew by 0.2% over the month in August. The reading matched the market consensus of 0.2% growth in the reported period.

Meanwhile, further delay on rate cuts by the Bank of England (BoE) might cap the downside for the Pound Sterling (GBP) in the near term. The BoE chief economist Huw Pill warned against cutting the base rate "too far or too fast" last week. Investors expect the UK central bank to cut the rate by a total of 0.5% to 4.5% in two of its last three meetings before the end of the year.

Pound Sterling FAQs

The Pound Sterling (GBP) is the oldest currency in the world (886 AD) and the official currency of the United Kingdom. It is the fourth most traded unit for foreign exchange (FX) in the world, accounting for 12% of all transactions, averaging $630 billion a day, according to 2022 data. Its key trading pairs are GBP/USD, also known as 'Cable', which accounts for 11% of FX, GBP/JPY, or the 'Dragon' as it is known by traders (3%), and EUR/GBP (2%). The Pound Sterling is issued by the Bank of England (BoE).

The single most important factor influencing the value of the Pound Sterling is monetary policy decided by the Bank of England. The BoE bases its decisions on whether it has achieved its primary goal of "price stability" - a steady inflation rate of around 2%. Its primary tool for achieving this is the adjustment of interest rates. When inflation is too high, the BoE will try to rein it in by raising interest rates, making it more expensive for people and businesses to access credit. This is generally positive for GBP, as higher interest rates make the UK a more attractive place for global investors to park their money. When inflation falls too low it is a sign economic growth is slowing. In this scenario, the BoE will consider lowering interest rates to cheapen credit so businesses will borrow more to invest in growth-generating projects.

Data releases gauge the health of the economy and can impact the value of the Pound Sterling. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, and employment can all influence the direction of the GBP. A strong economy is good for Sterling. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the BoE to put up interest rates, which will directly strengthen GBP. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the Pound Sterling is likely to fall.

Another significant data release for the Pound Sterling is the Trade Balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports over a given period. If a country produces highly sought-after exports, its currency will benefit purely from the extra demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase these goods. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens a currency and vice versa for a negative balance.



 


Date

Created

 : 2024.10.11

Update

Last updated

 : 2024.10.11

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

AUD/USD ascends on mixed US data, ends week with losses

The Australian Dollar recovered some ground against the Greenback on Friday after a measure of prices paid by producers reaffirmed that inflation is coming down, warranting further easing by the Federal Reserve.
New
update2024.10.12 07:28

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Consolidates within the 148.00-149.50 range

The USD/JPY edged higher during the North American session as US Treasury yields remained higher, particularly the 10-year T-note, which was up close to four basis points at 4.104%.
New
update2024.10.12 06:13

Canadian Dollar sheds weight for eighth straight day

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) fell against the Greenback for an eighth consecutive trading day as markets pivot out of the Loonie in favor of the US Dollar.
New
update2024.10.12 05:51

Gold surges on mixed US data, increased Fed rate cut speculation

Gold rallied over 1% on Friday, with the yellow metal set to end the week with modest gains of 0.20% after inflation data revealed on Friday and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report on Thursday capped the Greenback's advance.
New
update2024.10.12 05:09

Mexican Peso rallies as Fed rate cut bets weaken the US Dollar

The Mexican Peso registers gains against the Greenback for the second consecutive day after hitting a low of 19.61 in early trading on Thursday.
New
update2024.10.12 03:09

Dow Jones Industrial Average hits fresh record high after slack PPI print

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) rose over 400 points bottom-to-top on Friday, bolstered into a fresh record high of 42,837 after US Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation figures cooled in September.
New
update2024.10.12 02:38

US: The outlook is improving, but some risks remain - National Bank of Canada

Recent weeks have been punctuated by a number of positive developments for the U.S.
update2024.10.12 00:59

Mid-east conflict and OPEC+ restraint hopes preventing a sharp oil correction - TDS

Notwithstanding concerns surrounding a wider Middle East war, which could disrupt oil flows from the region, China stimulus disappointment and OPEC+ producer plans to bring barrels back in the coming months have put the crude oil market at risk of a sharp correction.
update2024.10.12 00:21

EUR/GBP slides lower as analysts bet on ECB easing, UK data beats expectations

EUR/GBP edges lower on Friday as traders sell the Euro (EUR) due to the increasing likelihood of the European Central Bank (ECB) making more aggressive interest rate cuts in the future.
update2024.10.11 23:55

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Bounces from weekly lows as 'hammer' hints reversal

The Pound Sterling recovers some ground against the greenback as a 'hammer' emerges on the daily chart and rises above 1.3050, registering gains of over 0.15%.
update2024.10.11 23:39

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel