Select Language

Gold price pulls back amid risk-on impulse despite hawkish Fed remarks

Breaking news

Gold price pulls back amid risk-on impulse despite hawkish Fed remarks

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2024.04.18 04:38
Gold price pulls back amid risk-on impulse despite hawkish Fed remarks

update 2024.04.18 04:38

  • Gold price drops from daily highs as better global risk sentiment diminishes safe-haven demand.
  • A dip in US Treasury yields places additional pressure on the US Dollar amidst hawkish Fed remarks.
  • Easing Middle East tensions sway Gold market, forthcoming US sanctions on Iran could influence future precious metal prices.

Gold prices retreated from close to weekly highs during the North American session on Wednesday amid an improvement in risk appetite. The bullish impulse arrived despite hawkish commentary by US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials. US Treasury bond yields dropped and undermined the Greenback, capping Gold's plunge.

XAU/USD trades at $2,375, down 0.34%, after hitting a daily high of $2,395, just shy of surpassing $2,400. Tensions in the Middle East had subsided after Israeli officials commented that they considered striking Iran on Monday but decided to wait, according to Axios. In the meantime, the US will impose new sanctions on Iran in the upcoming days, said Jake Sullivan, the White House National Security Advisor.

Back to economic themes, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the US economy has performed quite strongly while acknowledging that recent data shows the lack of further progress on inflation.

Daily digest market movers: Gold slides amid falling US yields, soft US Dollar

  • Powell added, "The recent data have clearly not given us greater confidence and instead indicate that it is likely to take longer than expected to achieve that confidence," that inflation is on the path to 2%. He said, "Given the strength of the labor market and progress on inflation so far, it is appropriate to allow restrictive policy further time to work and let the data and the evolving outlook guide us."
  • Recent US economic data indicates a robust economy, highlighted by February's Retail Sales, which outperformed expectations, and steady Industrial Production figures. These positive indicators have helped to mitigate concerns raised by weaker-than-anticipated housing data released on Wednesday.
  • In the meantime, the CME FedWatch Tool shows the first rate cut could happen in September, with odds for a quarter percentage point cut standing at 71%.
  • Despite decent US economic data, market participants seem to be focused on geopolitical risks. Sources cited by The Jerusalem Post revealed that Israel has reportedly finalized plans for a counter strike against Iran.
  • US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the buck's performance against a basket of six other currencies, loses 0.15% to 105.96.
  • Gross Domestic Product (GDP) estimates for Q1 2024 show that the US economy is expected to grow 2.9%, up from 2.8% estimated on April 15, according to the Atlanta GDPNow model.

Technical analysis: Gold dives as RSI nearly exits overbought levels

Gold's daily chart depicts the yellow metal as upwardly biased despite retreating toward the  $2,370 region. The formation of a Doji on Tuesday suggests that buyers lack the momentum to extend the precious metal's gains, opening the door for a pullback.

In addition, the Relative Strength Index (RSI has fallen below the 80 level and hasn't looked back, as it is nearly crossing below the 70 level, suggesting that buying pressure is fading.

That said, XAU/USD is headed for a correction. The first support would be the $2,350 mark, followed by the April 15 daily low of $2,324. Once surpassed, Gold might test $2,300.

On the other hand, if buyers drag prices toward $2,400, a test of the all-time high of $2,431 is on the cards.

Gold FAQs

Gold has played a key role in human's history as it has been widely used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Currently, apart from its shine and usage for jewelry, the precious metal is widely seen as a safe-haven asset, meaning that it is considered a good investment during turbulent times. Gold is also widely seen as a hedge against inflation and against depreciating currencies as it doesn't rely on any specific issuer or government.

Central banks are the biggest Gold holders. In their aim to support their currencies in turbulent times, central banks tend to diversify their reserves and buy Gold to improve the perceived strength of the economy and the currency. High Gold reserves can be a source of trust for a country's solvency. Central banks added 1,136 tonnes of Gold worth around $70 billion to their reserves in 2022, according to data from the World Gold Council. This is the highest yearly purchase since records began. Central banks from emerging economies such as China, India and Turkey are quickly increasing their Gold reserves.

Gold has an inverse correlation with the US Dollar and US Treasuries, which are both major reserve and safe-haven assets. When the Dollar depreciates, Gold tends to rise, enabling investors and central banks to diversify their assets in turbulent times. Gold is also inversely correlated with risk assets. A rally in the stock market tends to weaken Gold price, while sell-offs in riskier markets tend to favor the precious metal.

The price can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can quickly make Gold price escalate due to its safe-haven status. As a yield-less asset, Gold tends to rise with lower interest rates, while higher cost of money usually weighs down on the yellow metal. Still, most moves depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAU/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Gold controlled, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to push Gold prices up.

 


Date

Created

 : 2024.04.18

Update

Last updated

 : 2024.04.18

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

EUR/JPY extends recovery above 168.00 on upbeat Eurozone data

The EUR/JPY pair recovers further above the crucial resistance of 168.00 in Tuesday's European session.
New
update2024.04.30 19:40

ECB's de Cos: Should start cutting rates in June if inflation slows down as expected

European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker Pablo Hernandez de Cos said on Tuesday that the ECB should start cutting rates in June if inflation continues to slow down as expected, per Reuters.
New
update2024.04.30 19:35

USD/JPY recovers as traders buy the dip

USD/JPY is trading up about a third of a percentage point in the 156.90s on Tuesday as traders buy the dip after the rumored currency-intervention sell-off on the previous day.
New
update2024.04.30 19:21

EUR/USD capitalizes on sticky inflation, strong Q1 GDP report

EUR/USD bounces back strongly from below 1.0700 in Monday's European session as the Eurozone preliminary inflation data for April and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data for the first quarter have beat the consensus.
New
update2024.04.30 19:04

Gold price declines on upbeat market mood

The Gold price (XAU/USD) trades lower by one percent on Tuesday, in the $2,310s at the time of writing, as a positive market mood dents safe-haven demand for the precious metal.
New
update2024.04.30 18:40

NZD/USD Price Analysis: Retreats from over two-week high, holds above 0.5900 ahead of US data

The NZD/USD pair comes under heavy selling pressure on Tuesday and moves away from over a two-week high, around the 0.5985 region touched the previous day.
New
update2024.04.30 18:06

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Hovers near 1.3700 within the ascending channel

USD/CAD consolidates within the ascending channel on the daily chart, with the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) positioned above 50, indicating a recovery of bullish sentiment.
New
update2024.04.30 18:04

Eurozone Preliminary GDP expands 0.3% QoQ in Q1 vs. 0.1% expected

The Eurozone economy expanded in the three months to March of 2024, rebounding 0.3% from no growth reported in the final quarter of 2023, the preliminary estimate released by Eurostat showed Tuesday.
New
update2024.04.30 18:01

Eurozone Preliminary HICP inflation steadies at 2.4% YoY in April, as expected

The Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) rose at an annual pace of 2.4% in April, same as that seen in March, according to the official data released by Eurostat on Tuesday.
New
update2024.04.30 18:00

Silver price today: Silver slides, according to FXStreet data

Silver prices (XAG/USD) fell on Tuesday, according to FXStreet data.
New
update2024.04.30 17:45

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel