Select Language

US Dollar steady as US traders return from Thanksgiving

Breaking news

US Dollar steady as US traders return from Thanksgiving

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS

  • X
  • facebook
  • LINE
  • RSS
New update 2024.11.30 03:19
US Dollar steady as US traders return from Thanksgiving

update 2024.11.30 03:19

  • US Dollar Index falls near 106.00 on a quiet Friday.
  • DXY stands soft as US markets open on Black Friday after remaining closed on Thursday.
  • The hawkish Fed and strong economic outlook from the US might limit the downside.


The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the USD against a basket of currencies, trades near 106.10 with mild losses but trimmed most of its daily losses, which saw the index below 106.00. 

Overall, the US Dollar maintains a bullish outlook, supported by strong economic data and a hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) stance. Despite profit-taking and geopolitical uncertainty, the uptrend remains intact. 

This week, thin liquidity and market holidays have resulted in reduced trading activity, but the DXY is expected to continue its upward trajectory due to robust US economic growth.

Daily digest market movers: US Dollar stabilises on Friday ahead of the weekend

  • The US Dollar Index is currently trading near 106.00 with slight losses.
  • The Greenback has recovered since the reopening of US markets on Black Friday.
  • The Euro's rally, which pressured the USD, has subsided, influencing the DXY's behavior.
  • The Fed's hawkish stance might continue pushing the index higher.
  • This week's Federal Open Market Committee Minutes suggested that the Fed is in no rush to cut rates. 
  • Some participants cautioned that disinflation could take longer than expected. Officials discussed a "technical adjustment" to money market operations.
  • According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the odds of a December rate cut have risen to around 66%.

DXY technical outlook: Despite profit-taking, outlook remains bullish

Technical indicators for the DXY suggest a period of consolidation with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicators hovering around neutral levels. 

Despite a recent dip below the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), the index has quickly recovered, indicating that the uptrend remains intact. Key support is found at 106.00-106.50, while resistance is at 108.00. The overall bullish momentum suggests that the uptrend is likely to continue in the medium term as the US economy remains robust and the Fed is expected to cool down rate cut bets. Traders should monitor the 106.00 level closely as a break below this level could trigger further downside.

 

US Dollar FAQs

The US Dollar (USD) is the official currency of the United States of America, and the 'de facto' currency of a significant number of other countries where it is found in circulation alongside local notes. It is the most heavily traded currency in the world, accounting for over 88% of all global foreign exchange turnover, or an average of $6.6 trillion in transactions per day, according to data from 2022. Following the second world war, the USD took over from the British Pound as the world's reserve currency. For most of its history, the US Dollar was backed by Gold, until the Bretton Woods Agreement in 1971 when the Gold Standard went away.

The most important single factor impacting on the value of the US Dollar is monetary policy, which is shaped by the Federal Reserve (Fed). The Fed has two mandates: to achieve price stability (control inflation) and foster full employment. Its primary tool to achieve these two goals is by adjusting interest rates. When prices are rising too quickly and inflation is above the Fed's 2% target, the Fed will raise rates, which helps the USD value. When inflation falls below 2% or the Unemployment Rate is too high, the Fed may lower interest rates, which weighs on the Greenback.

In extreme situations, the Federal Reserve can also print more Dollars and enact quantitative easing (QE). QE is the process by which the Fed substantially increases the flow of credit in a stuck financial system. It is a non-standard policy measure used when credit has dried up because banks will not lend to each other (out of the fear of counterparty default). It is a last resort when simply lowering interest rates is unlikely to achieve the necessary result. It was the Fed's weapon of choice to combat the credit crunch that occurred during the Great Financial Crisis in 2008. It involves the Fed printing more Dollars and using them to buy US government bonds predominantly from financial institutions. QE usually leads to a weaker US Dollar.

Quantitative tightening (QT) is the reverse process whereby the Federal Reserve stops buying bonds from financial institutions and does not reinvest the principal from the bonds it holds maturing in new purchases. It is usually positive for the US Dollar.

 


Date

Created

 : 2024.11.30

Update

Last updated

 : 2024.11.30

Related articles


Show more

FXStreet

Financial media

arrow
FXStreet

FXStreet is a forex information website, delivering market analysis and news articles 24/7.
It features a number of articles contributed by well-known analysts, in addition to the ones by its editorial team.
Founded in 2000 by Francesc Riverola, a Spanish economist, it has grown to become a world-renowned information website.

Was this article helpful?

We hope you find this article useful. Any comments or suggestions will be greatly appreciated.  
We are also looking for writers with extensive experience in forex and crypto to join us.

please contact us at [email protected].

Thank you for your feedback.
Thank you for your feedback.

Most viewed

Gold prices rebound amid geopolitical tensions, Fed dovish bets

Gold's price advanced late during the North American session on Friday, up by 0.67%, yet it remains set to print monthly losses of over 3%.
New
update2024.11.30 05:07

Australian Dollar remains above 0.6500, lacking momentum due to trade war concerns

The AUD/USD pair extends gains for the third straight day on Friday, although it has trimmed a portion of its intraday gains and holds above the 0.6500 psychological threshold.
New
update2024.11.30 05:06

Dow Jones Industrial Average climbs to fresh record on Friday

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) explored territory north of the 45,000 handle for the second time this week.
New
update2024.11.30 03:30

US Dollar steady as US traders return from Thanksgiving

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the USD against a basket of currencies, trades near 106.10 with mild losses but trimmed most of its daily losses, which saw the index below 106.00.
New
update2024.11.30 03:18

Mexican Peso rises on Trump's softened trade stance, US Dollar decline

The Mexican Peso appreciated against the US Dollar during the North American session as the Greenback extended its downfall and is about to hit its most significant weekly loss in three months.
New
update2024.11.30 02:49

EUR/USD turned lower on Friday after technical rejection from 1.06

EUR/USD kicked Friday off with a mild rally into the 1.0600 handle as broader markets took advantage of the US holiday session to sell off the Greenback and bid up riskier assets, but another contraction in key pan-European inflation figures pulled the plug on Fiber bulls.
New
update2024.11.30 02:45

EUR/CAD Price Analysis: Buyers try to reclaim 20-day SMA after bearish crossover

The EUR/CAD pair saw a slight uptick in Friday's session, climbing by 0.26% to reach 1.4825.
New
update2024.11.30 01:32

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Clings to daily gains below 1.2700

The Pound Sterling clings to earlier gains yet trades off the weekly highs, which reached around 1.2749 during the European session.
New
update2024.11.30 00:04

GBP/JPY Price Prediction: Testing trendline as it continues sinking

GBP/JPY is trying to pierce the trendline for the uptrend since the August lows.
New
update2024.11.29 23:56

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD extends recovery to near $31.00 as safe-haven demand improves

Silver price (XAG/USD) recovers further to near $31.00 in North American session on Friday.
New
update2024.11.29 23:37

Disclaimer:arw

All information and content provided on this website is provided for informational purposes only and is not intended to solicit any investment. Although all efforts are made in order to ensure that the information is correct, no guarantee is provided for the accuracy of any content on this website. Any decision made shall be the responsibility of the investor and Myforex does not take any responsibility whatsoever regarding the use of any information provided herein.

The content provided on this website belongs to Myforex and, where stated, the relevant licensors. All rights are reserved by Myforex and the relevant licensors, and no content of this website, whether in full or in part, shall be copied or displayed elsewhere without the explicit written permission of the relevant copyright holder. If you wish to use any part of the content provided on this website, please ensure that you contact Myforex.

  • Facebook
  • Twitter
  • LINE

Myforex uses cookies to improve the convenience and functionality of this website. This website may include cookies not only by us but also by third parties (advertisers, log analysts, etc.) for the purpose of tracking the activities of users. Cookie policy

I agree
share
Share
Cancel